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Trump, Prediction markets
Political Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory
Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.
Experts Worry Election-Betting Markets Are Skewed Ahead of Vote
Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools inside companies like Ford Motor Co. have been praised for their fortune-telling prowess.
Probability of Trump victory surges past 80% on betting markets
Former President Donald Trump's probability of winning in Tuesday's U.S. presidential election surged on betting markets as gamblers parsed election returns. The probability of a Trump victory stood at 81% on Kalshi versus 19% for Vice President Kamala Harris.
The Daily Beast on MSN
4h
Who Did Get the Election Right: the Betting Markets
For weeks, the polls have predicted a tight race, but in the end it was the
betting
markets
that called the race ...
MarketWatch
15h
Betting markets increasingly see a Trump win
Betting
markets
tonight have been viewing a Trump win as increasingly likely, though the Associated Press has not yet ...
The Economist
1d
Financial markets are betting on a Trump victory
The easiest place to get a read on the thinking of punters is in election-
betting
markets
. The three that get the most ...
6d
Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically ...
6d
on MSN
Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it’s not because polling or ...
4h
The 2024 Election’s Other Big Loser: Prediction Markets
Prediction markets, exchange-traded markets where participants can bet on the outcomes of future events, failed to provide ...
1d
Betting Platform Prices Point to a Trump Victory
Other
betting
markets
have more consistently pointed to a Trump victory being the more probable outcome. Recent prices on ...
ABC Action News
1d
Betting on politics: This is where the odds stand in the presidential race
Political polls have long been used to track where voters stand on certain races and issues. But a new non-traditional method ...
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2024 U.S. Elections
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