Probability of Trump victory surges past 80% on betting markets
Former President Donald Trump's probability of winning in Tuesday's U.S. presidential election surged on betting markets as gamblers parsed election returns. The probability of a Trump victory stood at 81% on Kalshi versus 19% for Vice President Kamala Harris.
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Who Did Get the Election Right: the Betting MarketsFor weeks, the polls have predicted a tight race, but in the end it was the betting markets that called the race ...
Betting markets tonight have been viewing a Trump win as increasingly likely, though the Associated Press has not yet ...
Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools ...
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically ...
Election betting has become a major talking point during the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The Swing States are the focus ...
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Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it’s not because polling or ...
With less than a week before Election Day, bettors are making their presidential predictions in cold, hard cash.
Another disadvantage of polls is that some Americans are just unresponsive to pollsters. ABC’s FiveThirtyEight pollsters said ...
Other betting markets have more consistently pointed to a Trump victory being the more probable outcome. Recent prices on ...
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