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Betting markets bet big on Trump before Nov 5
Political Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory
Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.
Polymarket, Prediction Betting Markets Vindicated by Trump's Strong Showing
Along with Donald Trump, the Republican Party, and the cryptocurrency industry, prediction markets are a clear winner of the U.S. election. The GOP's surprisingly strong showing Tuesday night came as a shock to those who only got their information from mainstream media,
Probability of Trump victory surges past 80% on betting markets
Former President Donald Trump's probability of winning in Tuesday's U.S. presidential election surged on betting markets as gamblers parsed election returns. The probability of a Trump victory stood at 81% on Kalshi versus 19% for Vice President Kamala Harris.
The Daily Beast on MSN
2h
Who Did Get the Election Right: the Betting Markets
For weeks, the polls have predicted a tight race, but in the end it was the
betting
markets
that called the race ...
MarketWatch
13h
Betting markets increasingly see a Trump win
Betting
markets
tonight have been viewing a Trump win as increasingly likely, though the Associated Press has not yet ...
2d
on MSN
Experts Worry Election-Betting Markets Are Skewed Ahead of Vote
Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools ...
6d
Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically ...
6d
Donald Trump or Kamala Harris? Betting markets split on who Nevada is supporting
With less than a week before Election Day, bettors are making their presidential predictions in cold, hard cash.
5d
Betting markets or polls: Which is more accurate in determining election outcomes
Another disadvantage of polls is that some Americans are just unresponsive to pollsters. ABC’s FiveThirtyEight pollsters said ...
6d
on MSN
Nate Silver: Don't trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
Nate Silver is on record saying the presidential election momentum is with Donald Trump, but it’s not because polling or ...
6d
Trump-Harris Betting Markets And Swing State Odds With U.S. President Projections
Election betting has become a major talking point during the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The Swing States are the focus ...
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2024 U.S. Elections
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